Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.001837 0.001948 0.002063 0.002190 0.002328 0.002474 0.002638
2025-04-27 0.001689 0.001847 0.002018 0.002215 0.002439 0.002685 0.002978
2025-05-04 0.001602 0.001795 0.002009 0.002265 0.002566 0.002910 0.003336
2025-05-11 0.001548 0.001769 0.002022 0.002333 0.002709 0.003154 0.003726
2025-05-18 0.001481 0.001721 0.002000 0.002352 0.002791 0.003324 0.004032
2025-05-25 0.001392 0.001638 0.001931 0.002308 0.002786 0.003383 0.004196
2025-06-01 0.001325 0.001578 0.001884 0.002284 0.002804 0.003466 0.004393
2025-06-08 0.001284 0.001547 0.001870 0.002301 0.002871 0.003614 0.004681
2025-06-15 0.001230 0.001497 0.001829 0.002278 0.002883 0.003687 0.004869
2025-06-22 0.001184 0.001455 0.001795 0.002262 0.002902 0.003768 0.005070
2025-06-29 0.001140 0.001413 0.001759 0.002241 0.002912 0.003836 0.005255
2025-07-06 0.001094 0.001366 0.001715 0.002206 0.002899 0.003869 0.005388
2025-07-13 0.001028 0.001293 0.001637 0.002127 0.002826 0.003822 0.005413
2025-07-20 0.001005 0.001276 0.001633 0.002149 0.002900 0.003994 0.005789
2025-07-27 0.000992 0.001272 0.001646 0.002196 0.003013 0.004229 0.006284
2025-08-03 0.000985 0.001277 0.001671 0.002261 0.003154 0.004518 0.006892
2025-08-10 0.000964 0.001260 0.001665 0.002280 0.003226 0.004701 0.007339
2025-08-17 0.000925 0.001217 0.001619 0.002237 0.003200 0.004725 0.007507
2025-08-24 0.000895 0.001185 0.001589 0.002214 0.003204 0.004797 0.007768
2025-08-31 0.000878 0.001171 0.001583 0.002230 0.003269 0.004974 0.008234
2025-09-07 0.000851 0.001142 0.001554 0.002208 0.003272 0.005045 0.008506
2025-09-14 0.000828 0.001117 0.001531 0.002193 0.003284 0.005131 0.008815
2025-09-21 0.000805 0.001091 0.001505 0.002173 0.003287 0.005201 0.009098